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Serie D - Girone G · Italy
Latte Dolce vs Sarrabus Ogliastra prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Latte Dolce host Sarrabus Ogliastra in the Serie D - Girone G (Italy) on 4 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 12 — either side to win, with no draw. It was published at odds of 1.25, which the bookmaker market rated at about 73% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Latte Dolce 1–0 Sarrabus Ogliastra.
Going into the match, Latte Dolce had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 17. Sarrabus Ogliastra had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 9, with 9 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Latte Dolce's last 10 and 5 of Sarrabus Ogliastra's last 9; 7 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Latte Dolce averaged 2.20 goals scored and 1.80 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Sarrabus Ogliastra averaged 1.00 scored and 0.75 conceded across 4.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.37 goals from Latte Dolce and 0.95 from Sarrabus Ogliastra. From that it rates a home win at 45%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 25%, against 39%, 28% and 33% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 70%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Latte Dolce (green) and Sarrabus Ogliastra (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Latte Dolce | DLDLL | 1.70 | 1.70 | 60% | 70% |
| Sarrabus Ogliastra | DDLWL | 1.00 | 1.33 | 56% | 44% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.38 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 64% | 1.46 |
| BTTS Yes | 55% | 1.66 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 50% | 1.90 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 50% | 1.90 |
| Latte Dolce Win | 39% | 2.30 |
| 1-0 | 10% | 9.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.