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Serie C - Girone B · Italy
Latina vs Atalanta II prediction and preview
14 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Latina host Atalanta II in the Serie C - Girone B (Italy) on 14 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Latina to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.24, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Latina 2–0 Atalanta II.
Going into the match, Latina had won 2, drawn 5 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 12. Atalanta II had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Latina's last 10 and 6 of Atalanta II's last 10; 3 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Latina averaged 1.14 goals scored and 0.71 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Atalanta II averaged 1.25 scored and 1.63 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.42 goals from Latina and 1.01 from Atalanta II. From that it rates a home win at 45%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 26%, against 45%, 29% and 26% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 74%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Latina (green) and Atalanta II (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Latina | DDLDL | 1.20 | 1.20 | 70% | 30% |
| Atalanta II | LLWWL | 1.30 | 1.60 | 60% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 73% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 1X | 72% | 1.24 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 69% | 1.35 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.43 |
| BTTS Yes | 54% | 1.73 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 53% | 1.75 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 50% | 1.90 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.