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UEFA Champions League · International
Lask Linz vs Liverpool prediction and preview
14 Oct 2026, 16:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Lask Linz host Liverpool in the UEFA Champions League (International) on 14 Oct 2026, 16:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.67, which the bookmaker market rated at about 57% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Lask Linz 3–6 Liverpool.
Going into the match, Lask Linz had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 22 and conceding 15. Liverpool had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Lask Linz's last 10 and 5 of Liverpool's last 10; 8 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Lask Linz averaged 2.25 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Liverpool averaged 1.57 scored and 1.71 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.91 goals from Lask Linz and 1.47 from Liverpool. From that it rates a home win at 66%, a draw at 17% and an away win at 17%, against 10%, 17% and 73% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 73%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Lask Linz (green) and Liverpool (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 77% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| Liverpool Win | 73% | 1.30 |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.67 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| Liverpool 1st Half Win | 55% | 1.67 |
| Liverpool HT & FT | 54% | 1.80 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 51% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.