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Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 · Spain
Las Rozas vs SS Reyes II prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Las Rozas host SS Reyes II in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 (Spain) on 11 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Las Rozas Win — Las Rozas to win. It was published at odds of 1.62, which the bookmaker market rated at about 58% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Las Rozas 4–2 SS Reyes II.
Going into the match, Las Rozas had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 13. SS Reyes II had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Las Rozas's last 10 and 5 of SS Reyes II's last 10; 7 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Las Rozas averaged 1.83 goals scored and 1.67 conceded across 6 matches; away from home SS Reyes II averaged 2.17 scored and 1.33 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 3.27 goals from Las Rozas and 1.17 from SS Reyes II. From that it rates a home win at 77%, a draw at 13% and an away win at 9%, against 55%, 25% and 20% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 77%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Las Rozas (green) and SS Reyes II (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Rozas | WLDWW | 1.80 | 1.30 | 70% | 70% |
| SS Reyes II | LLLWL | 1.50 | 1.70 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 60% | 1.55 |
| Las Rozas Win | 56% | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.90 |
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 1.61 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 46% | 1.90 |
| Las Rozas HT & FT | 37% | 2.50 |
| 1-0 | 13% | 7.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.