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Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 · Spain
Las Palmas II vs Tenerife II prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Las Palmas II host Tenerife II in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 (Spain) on 11 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.62, which the bookmaker market rated at about 56% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Las Palmas II 1–1 Tenerife II.
Going into the match, Las Palmas II had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 9 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 14. Tenerife II had won 4, drawn 0 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 2 of Las Palmas II's last 9 and 7 of Tenerife II's last 10; 4 and 9 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Las Palmas II averaged 0.50 goals scored and 0.75 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Tenerife II averaged 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.12 goals from Las Palmas II and 1.26 from Tenerife II. From that it rates a home win at 31%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 38%, against 36%, 26% and 37% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 50%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Las Palmas II (green) and Tenerife II (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas II | LDWLL | 0.44 | 1.56 | 22% | 44% |
| Tenerife II | LWWWL | 1.50 | 1.70 | 70% | 90% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 69% | 1.34 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 64% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 49% | 1.95 |
| Tenerife II Win | 37% | 2.38 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.