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Premiership · Northern Ireland
Larne vs Coleraine FC prediction and preview
16 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Larne host Coleraine FC in the Premiership (Northern Ireland) on 16 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 70% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Larne 2–3 Coleraine FC.
Going into the match, Larne had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 6. Coleraine FC had won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 20 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Larne's last 10 and 5 of Coleraine FC's last 10; 3 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Larne averaged 1.78 goals scored and 0.89 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Coleraine FC averaged 2.45 scored and 1.27 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.27 goals from Larne and 1.39 from Coleraine FC. From that it rates a home win at 33%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 39%, against 40%, 28% and 32% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 76%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Larne (green) and Coleraine FC (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Larne | WWWWW | 1.80 | 0.60 | 30% | 30% |
| Coleraine FC | WWLWW | 2.00 | 0.90 | 50% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 15 Aug 2026 · Coleraine FC 0–0 Larne
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.28 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.80 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.75 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 47% | 2.05 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.