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Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 · Spain
Lanzarote vs UD San Fernando prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Lanzarote host UD San Fernando in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 (Spain) on 11 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is UD San Fernando Win — UD San Fernando to win. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.
Final score: Lanzarote 0–1 UD San Fernando.
Going into the match, Lanzarote had won 1, drawn 8 and lost 0 of their last 9 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 7. UD San Fernando had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 20 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Lanzarote's last 9 and 2 of UD San Fernando's last 10; 1 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Lanzarote averaged 0.75 goals scored and 0.75 conceded across 4 matches; away from home UD San Fernando averaged 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.82 goals from Lanzarote and 1.37 from UD San Fernando. From that it rates a home win at 21%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 49%. For the published pick itself the model gives 49%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Lanzarote (green) and UD San Fernando (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lanzarote | WDDDD | 0.89 | 0.78 | 78% | 11% |
| UD San Fernando | WLWWD | 2.00 | 0.90 | 20% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 19 Apr 2026 · Lanzarote 1–1 UD San Fernando