Home › League stats › Non League Premier - Northern › Lancaster City vs Stockton Town
Non League Premier - Northern · England
Lancaster City vs Stockton Town prediction and preview
13 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Lancaster City host Stockton Town in the Non League Premier - Northern (England) on 13 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.57, which the bookmaker market rated at about 58% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Lancaster City 1–0 Stockton Town.
Going into the match, Lancaster City had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 21. Stockton Town had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 21 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Lancaster City's last 10 and 8 of Stockton Town's last 10; 6 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Lancaster City averaged 1.40 goals scored and 1.30 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Stockton Town averaged 1.00 scored and 2.27 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.70 goals from Lancaster City and 1.33 from Stockton Town. From that it rates a home win at 45%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 29%, against 37%, 26% and 38% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 61%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Lancaster City (green) and Stockton Town (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lancaster City | DLWWL | 1.30 | 2.10 | 60% | 60% |
| Stockton Town | DWLLW | 1.70 | 2.10 | 80% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 18 Apr 2026 · Stockton Town 1–1 Lancaster City
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.26 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.49 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.75 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 46% | 2.05 |
| Stockton Town Win | 37% | 2.38 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.