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Thai League 1 · Thailand
Lamphun Warrior vs Bangkok United prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Lamphun Warrior host Bangkok United in the Thai League 1 (Thailand) on 11 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 73% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Lamphun Warrior 0–2 Bangkok United.
Going into the match, Lamphun Warrior had won 0, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 8 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 12. Bangkok United had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Lamphun Warrior's last 8 and 7 of Bangkok United's last 10; 3 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Lamphun Warrior averaged 0.67 goals scored and 2.00 conceded across 3 matches; away from home Bangkok United averaged 0.57 scored and 1.00 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.99 goals from Lamphun Warrior and 1.51 from Bangkok United. From that it rates a home win at 24%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 48%, against 25%, 26% and 49% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 73%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Lamphun Warrior (green) and Bangkok United (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamphun Warrior | DLLLD | 0.75 | 1.50 | 75% | 38% |
| Bangkok United | WLWDW | 1.40 | 1.70 | 70% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance X2 | 75% | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 50% | 1.90 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 50% | 1.90 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.