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Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D · Portugal
Lajense vs 1º Dezembro prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Lajense host 1º Dezembro in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D (Portugal) on 11 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Lajense to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Lajense 0–1 1º Dezembro.
Going into the match, Lajense had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 7 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 15. 1º Dezembro had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 8, with 6 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 2 of Lajense's last 7 and 4 of 1º Dezembro's last 8; 3 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Lajense averaged 1.00 goals scored and 0.33 conceded across 3 matches; away from home 1º Dezembro averaged 0.75 scored and 2.00 conceded across 4.
The 1X2 prices imply about 36% for Lajense, 28% for the draw and 36% for 1º Dezembro once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Lajense (green) and 1º Dezembro (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lajense | WLLDL | 1.86 | 2.14 | 29% | 43% |
| 1º Dezembro | DDLLW | 0.75 | 1.50 | 50% | 38% |
Averages over each side's last 8 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 71% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 68% | 1.34 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.37 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.70 |
| BTTS Yes | 51% | 1.79 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 45% | 2.10 |
| Lajense Win | 36% | 2.50 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.20 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.