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Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 · Spain
Lagun Onak vs Aretxabaleta prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Lagun Onak host Aretxabaleta in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 (Spain) on 3 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Aretxabaleta to win or draw. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.
Final score: Lagun Onak 1–2 Aretxabaleta.
Going into the match, Lagun Onak had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 12. Aretxabaleta had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 9, with 12 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Lagun Onak's last 10 and 6 of Aretxabaleta's last 9; 3 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Lagun Onak averaged 1.17 goals scored and 0.83 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Aretxabaleta averaged 1.00 scored and 1.25 conceded across 4.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.18 goals from Lagun Onak and 1.40 from Aretxabaleta. From that it rates a home win at 30%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 41%. For the published pick itself the model gives 70%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Lagun Onak (green) and Aretxabaleta (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lagun Onak | WWLDD | 1.30 | 1.20 | 50% | 30% |
| Aretxabaleta | LDDWW | 1.33 | 1.56 | 67% | 67% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 11 Apr 2026 · Aretxabaleta 2–1 Lagun Onak