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Meistriliiga · Estonia
Laagri vs Nõmme United prediction and preview
13 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Laagri host Nõmme United in the Meistriliiga (Estonia) on 13 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 68% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Laagri 2–0 Nõmme United.
Going into the match, Laagri had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 22 and conceding 10. Nõmme United had won 3, drawn 0 and lost 7 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 21 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Laagri's last 10 and 6 of Nõmme United's last 10; 6 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Laagri averaged 2.07 goals scored and 1.27 conceded across 15 matches; away from home Nõmme United averaged 1.36 scored and 2.50 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.45 goals from Laagri and 1.10 from Nõmme United. From that it rates a home win at 66%, a draw at 19% and an away win at 15%, against 44%, 24% and 32% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 69%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Laagri (green) and Nõmme United (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laagri | WWDWL | 2.20 | 1.00 | 50% | 60% |
| Nõmme United | LLLWL | 1.20 | 2.10 | 60% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 29 Aug 2026 · Nõmme United 1–2 Laagri
- 20 Jun 2026 · Laagri 1–3 Nõmme United
- 18 Apr 2026 · Nõmme United 1–2 Laagri
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 77% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 71% | 1.33 |
| BTTS Yes | 69% | 1.36 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 68% | 1.40 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 51% | 1.80 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 51% | 1.80 |
| Over 10.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.