Home › League stats › Meistriliiga › Laagri vs Flora Tallinn
Meistriliiga · Estonia
Laagri vs Flora Tallinn prediction and preview
21 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Laagri host Flora Tallinn in the Meistriliiga (Estonia) on 21 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.46, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Laagri 3–1 Flora Tallinn.
Going into the match, Laagri had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 22 and conceding 7. Flora Tallinn had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 19 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Laagri's last 10 and 8 of Flora Tallinn's last 10; 4 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Laagri averaged 2.06 goals scored and 1.12 conceded across 17 matches; away from home Flora Tallinn averaged 1.88 scored and 1.35 conceded across 17.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.98 goals from Laagri and 1.29 from Flora Tallinn. From that it rates a home win at 53%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 24%, against 29%, 21% and 50% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 63%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Laagri (green) and Flora Tallinn (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laagri | WWWWD | 2.20 | 0.70 | 30% | 40% |
| Flora Tallinn | WLLWW | 1.80 | 1.90 | 80% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 2 Aug 2026 · Flora Tallinn 1–0 Laagri
- 30 Apr 2026 · Flora Tallinn 5–0 Laagri
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance X2 | 73% | 1.21 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 71% | 1.29 |
| BTTS Yes | 64% | 1.42 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 64% | 1.46 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 56% | 1.66 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| Flora Tallinn Win | 50% | 1.87 |
| Over 3.5 Goals | 44% | 2.19 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.