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Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 · Spain
La Solana vs Villarrobledo prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
La Solana host Villarrobledo in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 (Spain) on 3 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 12 — either side to win, with no draw. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: La Solana 0–1 Villarrobledo.
Going into the match, La Solana had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 9 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 13. Villarrobledo had won 3, drawn 5 and lost 1 of their last 9, with 9 scored and 3 conceded.
Both teams scored in 2 of La Solana's last 9 and 2 of Villarrobledo's last 9; 4 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home La Solana averaged 2.25 goals scored and 0.50 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Villarrobledo averaged 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.57 goals from La Solana and 0.98 from Villarrobledo. From that it rates a home win at 20%, a draw at 37% and an away win at 43%, against 30%, 29% and 41% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 63%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between La Solana (green) and Villarrobledo (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| La Solana | LWLLL | 1.11 | 1.44 | 22% | 44% |
| Villarrobledo | WWDDD | 1.00 | 0.33 | 22% | 22% |
Averages over each side's last 9 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 71% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| BTTS No | 54% | 1.69 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 42% | 2.25 |
| Villarrobledo Win | 41% | 2.20 |
| 0-1 | 13% | 7.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.