Home › League stats › Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 › La Almunia vs Cuarte
Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 · Spain
La Almunia vs Cuarte prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
La Almunia host Cuarte in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 (Spain) on 4 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: La Almunia 1–3 Cuarte.
Going into the match, La Almunia had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 9 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 12. Cuarte had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of La Almunia's last 9 and 6 of Cuarte's last 10; 5 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home La Almunia averaged 1.00 goals scored and 1.25 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Cuarte averaged 1.11 scored and 1.00 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.44 goals from La Almunia and 1.40 from Cuarte. From that it rates a home win at 37%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 35%, against 30%, 29% and 41% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 46%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between La Almunia (green) and Cuarte (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| La Almunia | WWLDW | 1.44 | 1.33 | 56% | 56% |
| Cuarte | LLWWD | 1.50 | 1.10 | 60% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 71% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 62% | 1.50 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| BTTS No | 53% | 1.73 |
| Cuarte Win | 41% | 2.20 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.10 |
| 0-0 | 14% | 6.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.