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Friendlies · International
Kyrgyzstan vs Lebanon prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Kyrgyzstan host Lebanon in the Friendlies (International) on 4 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Kyrgyzstan 3–1 Lebanon.
Going into the match, Kyrgyzstan had won 1, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 3 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 0. Lebanon had won 1, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 2, with 6 scored and 2 conceded.
Both teams scored in 0 of Kyrgyzstan's last 3 and 0 of Lebanon's last 2; 1 and 1 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Kyrgyzstan averaged 1.67 goals scored and 0.00 conceded across 3 matches; away from home Lebanon averaged 6.00 scored and 0.00 conceded across 1.
The 1X2 prices imply about 49% for Kyrgyzstan, 26% for the draw and 25% for Lebanon once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Kyrgyzstan (green) and Lebanon (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyrgyzstan | WDD | 1.67 | 0.00 | 0% | 33% |
| Lebanon | WL | 3.00 | 1.00 | 0% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 3 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 76% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.65 |
| BTTS No | 54% | 1.73 |
| Kyrgyzstan Win | 49% | 1.90 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 43% | 2.20 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.