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AFC Champions League Elite · International
Kyoto Sanga vs Ratchaburi prediction and preview
13 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Kyoto Sanga host Ratchaburi in the AFC Champions League Elite (International) on 13 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Kyoto Sanga 1–0 Ratchaburi.
Going into the match, Kyoto Sanga had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 10. Ratchaburi had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 23 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Kyoto Sanga's last 10 and 6 of Ratchaburi's last 10; 3 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Kyoto Sanga averaged 1.38 goals scored and 2.00 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Ratchaburi averaged 1.57 scored and 1.00 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.28 goals from Kyoto Sanga and 1.91 from Ratchaburi. From that it rates a home win at 25%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 51%, against 67%, 19% and 14% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 61%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Kyoto Sanga (green) and Ratchaburi (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyoto Sanga | LDWWL | 0.90 | 1.00 | 40% | 30% |
| Ratchaburi | WDDLW | 2.30 | 1.30 | 60% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 77% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Kyoto Sanga Win | 67% | 1.38 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS No | 51% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.