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Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
KV Mechelen vs Genk prediction and preview
31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Achter de Kazerne, Mechelen
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
KV Mechelen host Genk in the Jupiler Pro League (Belgium) on 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.20, which the bookmaker market rated at about 78% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, KV Mechelen had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 21. Genk had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 20 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of KV Mechelen's last 10 and 5 of Genk's last 10; 6 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home KV Mechelen averaged 1.85 goals scored and 2.00 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Genk averaged 1.31 scored and 1.69 conceded across 16.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.44 goals from KV Mechelen and 1.54 from Genk. From that it rates a home win at 35%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 39%, against 25%, 25% and 50% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 81%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between KV Mechelen (green) and Genk (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KV Mechelen | WWLDL | 1.60 | 2.10 | 50% | 60% |
| Genk | WWWLL | 2.00 | 1.30 | 50% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 78% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance X2 | 75% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 64% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.67 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Jupiler Pro League matches that day
- Anderlecht vs KVC Westerlo · 31 Oct 2026, 19:45 UTC · Jupiler Pro League
Published pick: Double Chance 12 @ 1.20 - SK Beveren vs Union St. Gilloise · 31 Oct 2026, 19:45 UTC · Jupiler Pro League
Published pick: Union St. Gilloise Draw No Bet @ 1.20 - Standard Liege vs Kortrijk · 31 Oct 2026, 17:15 UTC · Jupiler Pro League
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.22