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Meistriliiga · Estonia
Kuressaare vs Flora Tallinn prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Kuressaare host Flora Tallinn in the Meistriliiga (Estonia) on 11 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Kuressaare 2–0 Flora Tallinn.
Going into the match, Kuressaare had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 24 and conceding 17. Flora Tallinn had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 19 scored and 22 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Kuressaare's last 10 and 9 of Flora Tallinn's last 10; 8 and 10 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Kuressaare averaged 1.71 goals scored and 1.57 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Flora Tallinn averaged 2.00 scored and 1.31 conceded across 16.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.51 goals from Kuressaare and 1.34 from Flora Tallinn. From that it rates a home win at 40%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 33%, against 20%, 22% and 58% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 54%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Kuressaare (green) and Flora Tallinn (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kuressaare | WDLLW | 2.40 | 1.70 | 60% | 80% |
| Flora Tallinn | WWDWW | 1.90 | 2.20 | 90% | 100% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 16 Aug 2026 · Flora Tallinn 2–3 Kuressaare
- 2 Jul 2026 · Kuressaare 0–3 Flora Tallinn
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 74% | 1.25 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 61% | 1.57 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 57% | 1.67 |
| Flora Tallinn Win | 56% | 1.55 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 10.5 Corners | 53% | 1.75 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.