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Veikkausliiga · Finland
KuPS vs VPS prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
KuPS host VPS in the Veikkausliiga (Finland) on 18 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is KuPS Win — KuPS to win. It was published at odds of 1.57, which the bookmaker market rated at about 57% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: KuPS 2–0 VPS.
Going into the match, KuPS had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 13. VPS had won 4, drawn 0 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 7 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of KuPS's last 10 and 2 of VPS's last 10; 2 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home KuPS averaged 1.32 goals scored and 1.26 conceded across 19 matches; away from home VPS averaged 2.07 scored and 1.27 conceded across 15.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.33 goals from KuPS and 0.88 from VPS. From that it rates a home win at 46%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 24%, against 58%, 26% and 16% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 46%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between KuPS (green) and VPS (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 19 Sep 2026 · VPS 0–2 KuPS
- 25 Jul 2026 · KuPS 3–1 VPS
- 13 Jun 2026 · VPS 1–1 KuPS
- 10 Jun 2026 · KuPS 0–0 VPS
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.25 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| KuPS Win | 59% | 1.57 |
| BTTS No | 52% | 1.80 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.90 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.