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III Liga - Group 4 · Poland
KSZO 1929 vs Busko-Zdroj prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
KSZO 1929 host Busko-Zdroj in the III Liga - Group 4 (Poland) on 10 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is KSZO 1929 Win — KSZO 1929 to win. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: KSZO 1929 5–0 Busko-Zdroj.
Going into the match, KSZO 1929 had won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 8. Busko-Zdroj had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 20 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of KSZO 1929's last 10 and 9 of Busko-Zdroj's last 10; 5 and 9 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home KSZO 1929 averaged 2.06 goals scored and 0.94 conceded across 16 matches; away from home Busko-Zdroj averaged 1.14 scored and 2.14 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.74 goals from KSZO 1929 and 0.88 from Busko-Zdroj. From that it rates a home win at 76%, a draw at 16% and an away win at 9%, against 62%, 21% and 16% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 76%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KSZO 1929 | LDWDW | 1.50 | 0.80 | 40% | 50% |
| Busko-Zdroj | WLWLW | 1.60 | 2.00 | 90% | 90% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 73% | 1.25 |
| KSZO 1929 Win | 63% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 60% | 1.52 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| BTTS Yes | 54% | 1.71 |
| KSZO 1929 HT & FT | 44% | 2.10 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 42% | 2.25 |
| 2-0 | 12% | 7.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.