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Cup · Russia
Krylia Sovetov vs Baltika prediction and preview
14 Oct 2026, 13:15 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Krylia Sovetov host Baltika in the Cup (Russia) on 14 Oct 2026, 13:15 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.37, which the bookmaker market rated at about 68% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Krylia Sovetov 0–2 Baltika.
Going into the match, Krylia Sovetov had won 2, drawn 6 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 14. Baltika had won 2, drawn 5 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Krylia Sovetov's last 10 and 5 of Baltika's last 10; 5 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Krylia Sovetov averaged 1.54 goals scored and 1.46 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Baltika averaged 1.85 scored and 0.77 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.82 goals from Krylia Sovetov and 1.28 from Baltika. From that it rates a home win at 23%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 46%, against 30%, 30% and 40% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 63%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Krylia Sovetov (green) and Baltika (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Krylia Sovetov | DDWDD | 1.30 | 1.40 | 60% | 50% |
| Baltika | DLDLD | 1.20 | 1.00 | 50% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 2 Sep 2026 · Baltika 0–0 Krylia Sovetov
- 8 Aug 2026 · Krylia Sovetov 0–2 Baltika
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| Double Chance X2 | 69% | 1.38 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 68% | 1.37 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.68 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 53% | 1.75 |
| BTTS Yes | 50% | 1.85 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 43% | 2.21 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.