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Damallsvenskan · Sweden
Kristianstad W vs Malmö FF W prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Kristianstad W host Malmö FF W in the Damallsvenskan (Sweden) on 24 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Kristianstad W 1–2 Malmö FF W.
Going into the match, Kristianstad W had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 27 and conceding 8. Malmö FF W had won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 23 scored and 6 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Kristianstad W's last 10 and 3 of Malmö FF W's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Kristianstad W averaged 1.30 goals scored and 1.60 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Malmö FF W averaged 1.79 scored and 0.86 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.95 goals from Kristianstad W and 1.68 from Malmö FF W. From that it rates a home win at 20%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 54%, against 24%, 24% and 52% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 73%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Kristianstad W (green) and Malmö FF W (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kristianstad W | WWLWD | 2.70 | 0.80 | 30% | 50% |
| Malmö FF W | WWWLW | 2.30 | 0.60 | 30% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 27 Jun 2026 · Malmö FF W 6–0 Kristianstad W
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance X2 | 78% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 64% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 62% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.60 |
| Malmö FF W Win | 54% | 1.73 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 43% | 2.30 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Damallsvenskan matches that day
- Eskilstuna United W vs Brommapojkarna W · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Damallsvenskan
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 · FT 2–1 - Norrköping W vs Uppsala W · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Damallsvenskan
Published pick: BTTS No @ 1.50 - Hammarby W vs Djurgården W · 24 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Damallsvenskan
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.40 · FT 3–0