Kristianstad vs Trollhättan prediction and preview

18 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Under 3.5 GoalsOdds 1.50Market probability 63%Final score 3–1

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Kristianstad host Trollhättan in the Ettan - Södra (Sweden) on 18 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Kristianstad 3–1 Trollhättan.

Going into the match, Kristianstad had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 15. Trollhättan had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 26 scored and 14 conceded.

Both teams scored in 5 of Kristianstad's last 10 and 7 of Trollhättan's last 10; 5 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Kristianstad averaged 1.14 goals scored and 1.29 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Trollhättan averaged 1.64 scored and 1.57 conceded across 14.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.35 goals from Kristianstad and 1.51 from Trollhättan. From that it rates a home win at 33%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 40%, against 34%, 25% and 41% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 68%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Kristianstad (green) and Trollhättan (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form38% – 63%

Attack25% – 75%

Defence57% – 43%

Head-to-head38% – 62%

Goals40% – 60%

Overall strength40% – 60%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Kristianstad	LLWWL	1.20	1.50	50%	50%
Trollhättan	LWDWW	2.60	1.40	70%	70%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

13 Jun 2026 · Trollhättan 1–1 Kristianstad

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Double Chance 12	76%	1.22
BTTS 1st Half - No	75%	1.25
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	72%	1.28
Under 3.5 Goals	63%	1.50
BTTS Yes	61%	1.53
Over 2.5 Goals	59%	1.60
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	59%	1.57
Under 9.5 Corners	52%	1.82

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.