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Tweede Divisie · Netherlands
Kozakken Boys vs Spakenburg prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Kozakken Boys host Spakenburg in the Tweede Divisie (Netherlands) on 10 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Kozakken Boys 2–0 Spakenburg.
Going into the match, Kozakken Boys had won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 28 and conceding 13. Spakenburg had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 9 of Kozakken Boys's last 10 and 6 of Spakenburg's last 10; 8 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Kozakken Boys averaged 1.88 goals scored and 1.13 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Spakenburg averaged 1.63 scored and 1.50 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.10 goals from Kozakken Boys and 0.87 from Spakenburg. From that it rates a home win at 65%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 14%, against 39%, 23% and 38% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 57%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Kozakken Boys (green) and Spakenburg (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kozakken Boys | WDWWW | 2.80 | 1.30 | 90% | 80% |
| Spakenburg | WLDDW | 1.40 | 1.50 | 60% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 68% | 1.35 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 68% | 1.35 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| Double Chance 1X | 66% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 53% | 1.76 |
| Over 10.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
| Kozakken Boys Win | 43% | 2.30 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.