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Third League - Southwest · Bulgaria
Kostinbrod vs Chavdar Etropole prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Kostinbrod host Chavdar Etropole in the Third League - Southwest (Bulgaria) on 10 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Kostinbrod to win or draw. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.
Going into the match, Kostinbrod had won 5, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 10. Chavdar Etropole had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 9, with 10 scored and 22 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Kostinbrod's last 10 and 6 of Chavdar Etropole's last 9; 4 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Kostinbrod averaged 1.25 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Chavdar Etropole averaged 0.60 scored and 2.40 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.96 goals from Kostinbrod and 0.95 from Chavdar Etropole. From that it rates a home win at 60%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 17%. For the published pick itself the model gives 84%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Kostinbrod (green) and Chavdar Etropole (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kostinbrod | LWWLW | 1.10 | 1.00 | 30% | 40% |
| Chavdar Etropole | WLLLL | 1.11 | 2.44 | 67% | 78% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.