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Kosovo vs Austria prediction and preview

4 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Over 1.5 GoalsOdds 1.25Market probability 75%Final score 1–1

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Kosovo host Austria in the UEFA Nations League (International) on 4 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.25, which the bookmaker market rated at about 75% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Kosovo 1–1 Austria.

Going into the match, Kosovo had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 5. Austria had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 8, with 15 scored and 13 conceded.

Both teams scored in 2 of Kosovo's last 5 and 5 of Austria's last 8; 3 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Kosovo averaged 2.00 goals scored and 0.00 conceded across 2 matches; away from home Austria averaged 1.25 scored and 2.50 conceded across 4.

The 1X2 prices imply about 29% for Kosovo, 28% for the draw and 44% for Austria once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Kosovo (green) and Austria (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form36% – 64%
Attack20% – 80%
Defence57% – 43%
Head-to-head0% – 100%
Goals25% – 75%
Overall strength34% – 65%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
KosovoDLWWL1.201.0040%60%
AustriaDWWLD1.881.6363%75%

Averages over each side's last 8 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
Over 1.5 Goals75%1.25
Double Chance 1273%1.30
Under 3.5 Goals69%1.36
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals68%1.36
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals65%1.44
BTTS Yes56%1.67
Over 2.5 Goals53%1.80
Under 2.5 Goals47%2.00

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

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