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Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Kortrijk vs KV Mechelen prediction and preview
23 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Kortrijk host KV Mechelen in the Jupiler Pro League (Belgium) on 23 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.62, which the bookmaker market rated at about 57% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Kortrijk had won 1, drawn 2 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 21. KV Mechelen had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 21 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Kortrijk's last 10 and 5 of KV Mechelen's last 10; 6 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Kortrijk averaged 1.27 goals scored and 1.36 conceded across 11 matches; away from home KV Mechelen averaged 0.73 scored and 2.00 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.46 goals from Kortrijk and 1.47 from KV Mechelen. From that it rates a home win at 36%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 37%, against 37%, 27% and 37% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 60%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Kortrijk (green) and KV Mechelen (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kortrijk | LDWLL | 0.50 | 2.10 | 30% | 60% |
| KV Mechelen | WWLDL | 1.60 | 2.10 | 50% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 52% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.