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Central Youth League · Poland
Korona Kielce U19 vs Lech Poznań U19 prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Korona Kielce U19 host Lech Poznań U19 in the Central Youth League (Poland) on 10 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Korona Kielce U19 2–2 Lech Poznań U19.
Going into the match, Korona Kielce U19 had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 9 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 18. Lech Poznań U19 had won 4, drawn 0 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 19 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Korona Kielce U19's last 9 and 5 of Lech Poznań U19's last 10; 5 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Korona Kielce U19 averaged 1.00 goals scored and 1.80 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Lech Poznań U19 averaged 1.71 scored and 1.71 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.31 goals from Korona Kielce U19 and 1.77 from Lech Poznań U19. From that it rates a home win at 27%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 47%, against 27%, 21% and 51% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 59%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Korona Kielce U19 (green) and Lech Poznań U19 (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Korona Kielce U19 | DLWWL | 1.00 | 2.00 | 56% | 56% |
| Lech Poznań U19 | LWLLL | 1.60 | 1.90 | 50% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance X2 | 73% | 1.25 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 71% | 1.28 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 64% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 63% | 1.43 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 55% | 1.68 |
| Lech Poznań U19 Win | 51% | 1.75 |
| Lech Poznań U19 HT & FT | 34% | 2.75 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.