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III Liga - Group 4 · Poland
Korona Kielce II vs Podlasie Biała Podlaska prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Korona Kielce II host Podlasie Biała Podlaska in the III Liga - Group 4 (Poland) on 10 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.46, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Korona Kielce II 4–0 Podlasie Biała Podlaska.
Going into the match, Korona Kielce II had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 22. Podlasie Biała Podlaska had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Korona Kielce II's last 10 and 5 of Podlasie Biała Podlaska's last 10; 7 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Korona Kielce II averaged 2.15 goals scored and 1.46 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Podlasie Biała Podlaska averaged 1.30 scored and 1.10 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.04 goals from Korona Kielce II and 1.78 from Podlasie Biała Podlaska. From that it rates a home win at 44%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 34%, against 42%, 25% and 33% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 73%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Korona Kielce II (green) and Podlasie Biała Podlaska (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Korona Kielce II | WLDLL | 1.70 | 2.20 | 70% | 70% |
| Podlasie Biała Podlaska | DLLWL | 1.00 | 1.20 | 50% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 73% | 1.25 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.25 |
| BTTS Yes | 63% | 1.46 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 60% | 1.54 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 40% | 2.35 |
| Korona Kielce II Win | 39% | 2.15 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.