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Korea Republic U23 vs Japan U23 prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 10:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Korea Republic U23 host Japan U23 in the Asian Games (International) on 3 Oct 2026, 10:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 12 — either side to win, with no draw. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 70% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Korea Republic U23 1–0 Japan U23.
Going into the match, Korea Republic U23 had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 7 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 6. Japan U23 had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5, with 14 scored and 1 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Korea Republic U23's last 7 and 1 of Japan U23's last 5; 4 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Korea Republic U23 averaged 1.80 goals scored and 0.60 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Japan U23 averaged 4.00 scored and 0.50 conceded across 2.
The 1X2 prices imply about 40% for Korea Republic U23, 28% for the draw and 31% for Japan U23 once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Korea Republic U23 (green) and Japan U23 (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Korea Republic U23 | WWWWL | 2.29 | 0.86 | 57% | 57% |
| Japan U23 | DWWWW | 2.80 | 0.20 | 20% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 7 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| Double Chance 12 | 70% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 64% | 1.47 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS No | 51% | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 42% | 2.25 |
| Korea Republic U23 Win | 40% | 2.25 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.