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Ligue 2 · Tunisia
Korba vs EGS Gafsa prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Korba host EGS Gafsa in the Ligue 2 (Tunisia) on 4 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Korba 3–0 EGS Gafsa.
Going into the match, Korba had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 6 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 7. EGS Gafsa had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 6, with 10 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 2 of Korba's last 6 and 4 of EGS Gafsa's last 6; 2 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Korba averaged 1.00 goals scored and 0.00 conceded across 2 matches; away from home EGS Gafsa averaged 1.50 scored and 2.50 conceded across 2.
The 1X2 prices imply about 52% for Korba, 28% for the draw and 20% for EGS Gafsa once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Korba (green) and EGS Gafsa (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 6 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 72% | 1.29 |
| Double Chance 12 | 71% | 1.28 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 60% | 1.54 |
| BTTS No | 57% | 1.60 |
| Korba Win | 52% | 1.73 |
| Korba HT & FT | 34% | 2.77 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.20 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.