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1st Division · Albania
Korabi Peshkopi vs Pogradeci prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Korabi Peshkopi host Pogradeci in the 1st Division (Albania) on 11 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Pogradeci Win — Pogradeci to win. It was published at odds of 1.60, which the bookmaker market rated at about 55% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Korabi Peshkopi 0–2 Pogradeci.
Going into the match, Korabi Peshkopi had won 3, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 11. Pogradeci had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 6 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Korabi Peshkopi's last 10 and 2 of Pogradeci's last 10; 3 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Korabi Peshkopi averaged 0.83 goals scored and 0.50 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Pogradeci averaged 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.43 goals from Korabi Peshkopi and 1.24 from Pogradeci. From that it rates a home win at 12%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 56%, against 19%, 25% and 56% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 56%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Korabi Peshkopi (green) and Pogradeci (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Korabi Peshkopi | WLLDW | 0.90 | 1.10 | 60% | 30% |
| Pogradeci | WDWWD | 1.60 | 0.60 | 20% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 68% | 1.34 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.37 |
| Pogradeci Win | 56% | 1.60 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.70 |
| BTTS No | 54% | 1.69 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 45% | 2.10 |
| Pogradeci HT & FT | 37% | 2.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.