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Premier League · Ukraine
Kolos Kovalivka vs Polessya prediction and preview
1 Nov 2026, 11:00 UTC · Kolos Stadium, Kovalivka
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Kolos Kovalivka host Polessya in the Premier League (Ukraine) on 1 Nov 2026, 11:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.30, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Kolos Kovalivka had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 14. Polessya had won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 22 scored and 6 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Kolos Kovalivka's last 10 and 4 of Polessya's last 10; 7 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Kolos Kovalivka averaged 1.58 goals scored and 0.83 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Polessya averaged 2.31 scored and 1.23 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.12 goals from Kolos Kovalivka and 1.77 from Polessya. From that it rates a home win at 23%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 52%, against 17%, 23% and 60% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 67%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kolos Kovalivka | WLWWL | 1.70 | 1.40 | 60% | 70% |
| Polessya | WWWDW | 2.20 | 0.60 | 40% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| Polessya Win | 62% | 1.50 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 56% | 1.66 |
| BTTS No | 54% | 1.67 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Premier League matches that day
- LNZ Cherkasy vs FC Kharkiv · 1 Nov 2026, 11:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.53