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Persha Liga · Ukraine

Kolos Kovalivka II vs Oleksandria prediction and preview

4 Oct 2026, 09:30 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Oleksandria WinOdds 1.50Market probability 60%Final score 0–2

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Kolos Kovalivka II host Oleksandria in the Persha Liga (Ukraine) on 4 Oct 2026, 09:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Oleksandria Win — Oleksandria to win. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 60% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Kolos Kovalivka II 0–2 Oleksandria.

Going into the match, Kolos Kovalivka II had won 4, drawn 0 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 18. Oleksandria had won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 7 conceded.

Both teams scored in 4 of Kolos Kovalivka II's last 10 and 3 of Oleksandria's last 10; 6 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Kolos Kovalivka II averaged 2.30 goals scored and 1.10 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Oleksandria averaged 1.25 scored and 1.25 conceded across 12.

Our team-strength model expects about 0.93 goals from Kolos Kovalivka II and 1.37 from Oleksandria. From that it rates a home win at 24%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 46%, against 16%, 24% and 60% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 46%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Kolos Kovalivka II (green) and Oleksandria (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form53% – 47%
Attack73% – 27%
Defence20% – 80%
Overall strength48% – 52%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
Kolos Kovalivka IIWWLWL1.201.8040%60%
OleksandriaDLWDD1.500.7030%20%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
Double Chance 1275%1.22
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals67%1.35
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals66%1.38
Oleksandria Win60%1.50
BTTS No51%1.79
Over 2.5 Goals51%1.85
Under 2.5 Goals49%1.95
Oleksandria HT & FT41%2.30

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

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