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U19 Bundesliga · Germany
Köln U19 vs Mainz 05 U19 prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Köln U19 host Mainz 05 U19 in the U19 Bundesliga (Germany) on 18 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Köln U19 Win — Köln U19 to win. It was published at odds of 1.65, which the bookmaker market rated at about 54% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Köln U19 3–1 Mainz 05 U19.
Going into the match, Köln U19 had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 25 and conceding 9. Mainz 05 U19 had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 26 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Köln U19's last 10 and 7 of Mainz 05 U19's last 10; 6 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Köln U19 averaged 3.00 goals scored and 0.57 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Mainz 05 U19 averaged 2.22 scored and 0.89 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.90 goals from Köln U19 and 0.98 from Mainz 05 U19. From that it rates a home win at 58%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 18%, against 55%, 20% and 25% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 58%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Köln U19 (green) and Mainz 05 U19 (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Köln U19 | WLWDW | 2.50 | 0.90 | 60% | 60% |
| Mainz 05 U19 | WLWDW | 2.60 | 1.30 | 70% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 9 Aug 2026 · Mainz 05 U19 1–1 Köln U19
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 74% | 1.20 |
| BTTS Yes | 69% | 1.33 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 67% | 1.37 |
| Köln U19 Win | 55% | 1.65 |
| 1st Half Over 1.5 Goals | 51% | 1.80 |
| Köln U19 HT & FT | 40% | 2.32 |
| 2-1 | 12% | 7.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other U19 Bundesliga matches that day
- Carl Zeiss Jena U19 vs Union Berlin U19 · 18 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · U19 Bundesliga
Published pick: Union Berlin U19 Win · FT 0–3 - Elversberg U19 vs Viktoria Köln U19 · 18 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · U19 Bundesliga
Published pick: Double Chance X2 - Hannover 96 U19 vs Havelse U19 · 18 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · U19 Bundesliga
Published pick: Hannover 96 U19 Win · FT 4–1 - Bochum U19 vs Bayer Leverkusen U19 · 18 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · U19 Bundesliga
Published pick: Double Chance X2 - MSV Duisburg U19 vs Schalke 04 U19 · 18 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC · U19 Bundesliga
Published pick: Double Chance 1X · FT 3–1 - Hamburger SV U19 vs St. Pauli U19 · 18 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC · U19 Bundesliga
Published pick: Double Chance 1X · FT 3–2 - Rot-Weiss Essen U19 vs Fortuna Düsseldorf U19 · 18 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC · U19 Bundesliga
Published pick: Double Chance X2 · FT 1–4