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J3 League · Japan
Kochi United vs Parceiro Nagano prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Kochi United host Parceiro Nagano in the J3 League (Japan) on 10 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 12 — either side to win, with no draw. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Kochi United 1–3 Parceiro Nagano.
Going into the match, Kochi United had won 1, drawn 1 and lost 8 of their last 10 matches, scoring 3 and conceding 24. Parceiro Nagano had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 2 of Kochi United's last 10 and 5 of Parceiro Nagano's last 10; 4 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Kochi United averaged 0.82 goals scored and 1.27 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Parceiro Nagano averaged 0.91 scored and 1.73 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.74 goals from Kochi United and 1.34 from Parceiro Nagano. From that it rates a home win at 19%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 50%, against 36%, 28% and 36% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 69%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Kochi United (green) and Parceiro Nagano (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kochi United | LLLDL | 0.30 | 2.40 | 20% | 40% |
| Parceiro Nagano | LLWDD | 1.00 | 1.60 | 50% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 64% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 50% | 1.82 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 44% | 2.15 |
| Kochi United Win | 35% | 2.45 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.