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First Amateur Division · Belgium

Knokke vs Harelbeke prediction and preview

31 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · Burgemeester Graaf Leopold Lippens Park

The PunterPick prediction

Over 2.5 GoalsOdds 1.44Market probability 64%

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Knokke host Harelbeke in the First Amateur Division (Belgium) on 31 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Going into the match, Knokke had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 20. Harelbeke had won 1, drawn 2 and lost 7 of their last 10, with 7 scored and 27 conceded.

Both teams scored in 5 of Knokke's last 10 and 4 of Harelbeke's last 10; 7 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Knokke averaged 2.17 goals scored and 2.00 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Harelbeke averaged 0.71 scored and 2.14 conceded across 7.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.85 goals from Knokke and 1.14 from Harelbeke. From that it rates a home win at 53%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 22%, against 62%, 21% and 18% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 57%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Knokke (green) and Harelbeke (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form50% – 50%
Attack44% – 56%
Defence61% – 39%
Head-to-head80% – 20%
Goals75% – 25%
Overall strength66% – 33%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
KnokkeLLLWD1.302.0050%70%
HarelbekeLLWLD0.702.7040%80%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
BTTS 1st Half - No74%1.24
Knokke Win65%1.45
Over 2.5 Goals64%1.44
BTTS Yes58%1.57
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals56%1.67
2nd Half Higher Goals49%1.90
Knokke HT & FT40%2.30
2-110%9.50

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

More on this match

Other First Amateur Division matches that day