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J3 League · Japan
Kitakyushu vs Kochi United prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 08:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Kitakyushu host Kochi United in the J3 League (Japan) on 3 Oct 2026, 08:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 12 — either side to win, with no draw. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Kitakyushu 2–0 Kochi United.
Going into the match, Kitakyushu had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 20. Kochi United had won 1, drawn 2 and lost 7 of their last 10, with 3 scored and 22 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Kitakyushu's last 10 and 2 of Kochi United's last 10; 6 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Kitakyushu averaged 1.08 goals scored and 1.75 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Kochi United averaged 0.40 scored and 2.20 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.89 goals from Kitakyushu and 0.70 from Kochi United. From that it rates a home win at 65%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 12%, against 41%, 28% and 31% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 77%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Kitakyushu (green) and Kochi United (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kitakyushu | LDWLL | 1.30 | 2.00 | 80% | 60% |
| Kochi United | LLDLL | 0.30 | 2.20 | 20% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 71% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.73 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 49% | 1.95 |
| Kitakyushu Win | 41% | 2.15 |
| Kitakyushu HT & FT | 26% | 3.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.