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Liga Leumit · Israel
Kiryat Yam SC vs Hapoel Kfar Saba prediction and preview
1 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Kiryat Yam SC host Hapoel Kfar Saba in the Liga Leumit (Israel) on 1 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Kiryat Yam SC 2–0 Hapoel Kfar Saba.
Going into the match, Kiryat Yam SC had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 22 and conceding 17. Hapoel Kfar Saba had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 22 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Kiryat Yam SC's last 10 and 7 of Hapoel Kfar Saba's last 10; 7 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Kiryat Yam SC averaged 1.44 goals scored and 1.11 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Hapoel Kfar Saba averaged 2.00 scored and 1.89 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.56 goals from Kiryat Yam SC and 1.60 from Hapoel Kfar Saba. From that it rates a home win at 58%, a draw at 20% and an away win at 23%, against 52%, 25% and 23% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 79%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Kiryat Yam SC (green) and Hapoel Kfar Saba (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kiryat Yam SC | WWLWL | 2.20 | 1.70 | 60% | 70% |
| Hapoel Kfar Saba | LLWLW | 1.30 | 2.20 | 70% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 11 May 2026 · Kiryat Yam SC 2–0 Hapoel Kfar Saba
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| BTTS Yes | 61% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Kiryat Yam SC Win | 52% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.