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National League - North · England
King's Lynn Town vs Buxton prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
King's Lynn Town host Buxton in the National League - North (England) on 10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: King's Lynn Town 1–0 Buxton.
Going into the match, King's Lynn Town had won 5, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 16. Buxton had won 5, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 18 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of King's Lynn Town's last 10 and 5 of Buxton's last 10; 6 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home King's Lynn Town averaged 1.67 goals scored and 1.67 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Buxton averaged 1.44 scored and 1.89 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.91 goals from King's Lynn Town and 1.29 from Buxton. From that it rates a home win at 51%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 25%, against 33%, 25% and 42% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 60%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| King's Lynn Town | WLWLW | 2.00 | 1.60 | 50% | 60% |
| Buxton | LLWWW | 1.60 | 1.80 | 50% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 79% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 61% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.