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Torneo Federal A · Argentina
Kimberley Mar del Plata vs Deportivo Rincon prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Kimberley Mar del Plata host Deportivo Rincon in the Torneo Federal A (Argentina) on 17 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Kimberley Mar del Plata Win — Kimberley Mar del Plata to win. It was published at odds of 1.25, which the bookmaker market rated at about 69% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Kimberley Mar del Plata 2–1 Deportivo Rincon.
Going into the match, Kimberley Mar del Plata had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 7. Deportivo Rincon had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 6 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Kimberley Mar del Plata's last 10 and 2 of Deportivo Rincon's last 10; 3 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Kimberley Mar del Plata averaged 1.10 goals scored and 0.70 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Deportivo Rincon averaged 0.80 scored and 1.30 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.32 goals from Kimberley Mar del Plata and 0.46 from Deportivo Rincon. From that it rates a home win at 57%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 12%, against 71%, 22% and 7% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 57%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Kimberley Mar del Plata (green) and Deportivo Rincon (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kimberley Mar del Plata | WDDWL | 1.00 | 0.70 | 30% | 30% |
| Deportivo Rincon | LWLDD | 1.10 | 0.60 | 20% | 20% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 10 Oct 2026 · Deportivo Rincon 0–1 Kimberley Mar del Plata
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 77% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Kimberley Mar del Plata Win | 69% | 1.25 |
| BTTS No | 67% | 1.33 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.