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National League · England
Kidderminster Harriers vs Sutton Utd prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Kidderminster Harriers host Sutton Utd in the National League (England) on 3 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Kidderminster Harriers 1–1 Sutton Utd.
Going into the match, Kidderminster Harriers had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 8. Sutton Utd had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Kidderminster Harriers's last 10 and 5 of Sutton Utd's last 10; 3 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Kidderminster Harriers averaged 1.40 goals scored and 0.50 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Sutton Utd averaged 1.00 scored and 1.33 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.48 goals from Kidderminster Harriers and 0.59 from Sutton Utd. From that it rates a home win at 58%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 14%, against 38%, 29% and 33% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 62%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Kidderminster Harriers (green) and Sutton Utd (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kidderminster Harriers | LLDWW | 1.40 | 0.80 | 50% | 30% |
| Sutton Utd | LDDWL | 1.00 | 1.60 | 50% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| Double Chance 12 | 70% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.70 |
| BTTS Yes | 50% | 1.91 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 45% | 2.10 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.