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Regionalliga - SudWest · Germany
Kickers Offenbach vs SGV Freiberg prediction and preview
23 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Kickers Offenbach host SGV Freiberg in the Regionalliga - SudWest (Germany) on 23 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.45, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Kickers Offenbach had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 15. SGV Freiberg had won 5, drawn 5 and lost 0 of their last 10, with 23 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Kickers Offenbach's last 10 and 6 of SGV Freiberg's last 10; 7 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Kickers Offenbach averaged 2.23 goals scored and 2.15 conceded across 13 matches; away from home SGV Freiberg averaged 2.17 scored and 1.83 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.66 goals from Kickers Offenbach and 2.44 from SGV Freiberg. From that it rates a home win at 25%, a draw at 21% and an away win at 54%, against 23%, 22% and 55% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 75%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Kickers Offenbach (green) and SGV Freiberg (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kickers Offenbach | LDLLW | 1.80 | 1.50 | 70% | 70% |
| SGV Freiberg | WWDDW | 2.30 | 1.20 | 60% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 69% | 1.32 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 64% | 1.42 |
| BTTS Yes | 63% | 1.45 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 58% | 1.58 |
| SGV Freiberg Win | 55% | 1.64 |
| 1st Half Over 1.5 Goals | 50% | 1.83 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 50% | 1.83 |
| Over 3.5 Goals | 42% | 2.17 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- Kickers Offenbach form and statistics
- SGV Freiberg form and statistics
- Regionalliga - SudWest statistics
Other Regionalliga - SudWest matches that day
- Kaiserslautern II vs Freiburg II · 23 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC · Regionalliga - SudWest
Published pick: Double Chance X2