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Liga Alef · Israel
Kfar Saba 1928 vs Hapoel Marmorek prediction and preview
1 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Kfar Saba 1928 host Hapoel Marmorek in the Liga Alef (Israel) on 1 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 12 — either side to win, with no draw. It was published at odds of 1.25, which the bookmaker market rated at about 73% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Kfar Saba 1928 2–2 Hapoel Marmorek.
Going into the match, Kfar Saba 1928 had won 1, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 4 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 5. Hapoel Marmorek had won 1, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 4, with 2 scored and 4 conceded.
Both teams scored in 2 of Kfar Saba 1928's last 4 and 1 of Hapoel Marmorek's last 4; 2 and 1 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Kfar Saba 1928 averaged 0.50 goals scored and 1.50 conceded across 2 matches; away from home Hapoel Marmorek averaged 0.00 scored and 1.00 conceded across 1.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.27 goals from Kfar Saba 1928 and 1.37 from Hapoel Marmorek. From that it rates a home win at 33%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 38%, against 50%, 27% and 23% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 71%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Kfar Saba 1928 (green) and Hapoel Marmorek (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kfar Saba 1928 | LLWL | 1.25 | 1.25 | 50% | 50% |
| Hapoel Marmorek | LLLW | 0.50 | 1.00 | 25% | 25% |
Averages over each side's last 4 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 67% | 1.39 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.73 |
| BTTS No | 51% | 1.81 |
| Kfar Saba 1928 Win | 50% | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 45% | 2.08 |
| Kfar Saba 1928 HT & FT | 32% | 2.88 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.