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3. Lig - Group 2 · Turkey

Kepezspor vs Karsiyaka prediction and preview

3 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Double Chance X2Odds 1.30Market probability 70%Final score 0–1

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Kepezspor host Karsiyaka in the 3. Lig - Group 2 (Turkey) on 3 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Karsiyaka to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.30, which the bookmaker market rated at about 70% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Kepezspor 0–1 Karsiyaka.

Going into the match, Kepezspor had won 1, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 9 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 23. Karsiyaka had won 1, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 8, with 9 scored and 8 conceded.

Both teams scored in 5 of Kepezspor's last 9 and 3 of Karsiyaka's last 8; 5 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Kepezspor averaged 1.25 goals scored and 2.50 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Karsiyaka averaged 0.75 scored and 1.00 conceded across 4.

Our team-strength model expects about 0.75 goals from Kepezspor and 1.32 from Karsiyaka. From that it rates a home win at 20%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 49%, against 30%, 27% and 43% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 80%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Kepezspor (green) and Karsiyaka (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form50% – 50%
Attack40% – 60%
Defence42% – 58%
Overall strength39% – 61%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
KepezsporDDWLL1.002.5656%56%
KarsiyakaLDDLL1.131.0038%25%

Averages over each side's last 9 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

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