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Football League - Highland League · Scotland
Keith vs Turriff United prediction and preview
7 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Keith host Turriff United in the Football League - Highland League (Scotland) on 7 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Keith to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Keith had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 23. Turriff United had won 3, drawn 0 and lost 7 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 19 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Keith's last 10 and 8 of Turriff United's last 10; 8 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Keith averaged 2.25 goals scored and 1.25 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Turriff United averaged 0.88 scored and 1.50 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.57 goals from Keith and 1.28 from Turriff United. From that it rates a home win at 43%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 30%, against 41%, 25% and 34% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 70%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Keith (green) and Turriff United (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keith | WLLLW | 1.80 | 2.30 | 80% | 80% |
| Turriff United | LWLWL | 1.40 | 1.90 | 80% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 74% | 1.24 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 72% | 1.27 |
| BTTS Yes | 65% | 1.42 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 57% | 1.62 |
| Keith Win | 41% | 2.20 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 39% | 2.38 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.