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1. Lig · Turkey

Keçiörengücü vs Iğdır FK prediction and preview

14 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Under 3.5 GoalsOdds 1.40Market probability 67%Final score 0–0

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Keçiörengücü host Iğdır FK in the 1. Lig (Turkey) on 14 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Keçiörengücü 0–0 Iğdır FK.

Going into the match, Keçiörengücü had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 19 and conceding 11. Iğdır FK had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 11 conceded.

Both teams scored in 6 of Keçiörengücü's last 10 and 5 of Iğdır FK's last 10; 4 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Keçiörengücü averaged 2.00 goals scored and 0.83 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Iğdır FK averaged 2.00 scored and 1.17 conceded across 6.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.33 goals from Keçiörengücü and 1.04 from Iğdır FK. From that it rates a home win at 42%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 28%, against 49%, 26% and 25% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 79%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Keçiörengücü (green) and Iğdır FK (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form46% – 54%
Attack45% – 55%
Defence75% – 25%
Head-to-head50% – 50%
Goals44% – 56%
Overall strength53% – 46%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
KeçiörengücüWDDWW1.901.1060%40%
Iğdır FKWDWWW1.701.1050%50%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
Over 1.5 Goals77%1.22
Double Chance 1X74%1.25
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals70%1.33
Under 3.5 Goals67%1.40
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals63%1.50
BTTS Yes57%1.62
Over 2.5 Goals54%1.73
Over 8.5 Corners50%1.83

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

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