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NB II · Hungary
Kazincbarcikai vs Karcag SE prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Kazincbarcikai host Karcag SE in the NB II (Hungary) on 10 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.95, which the bookmaker market rated at about 49% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Kazincbarcikai 3–0 Karcag SE.
Going into the match, Kazincbarcikai had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 13. Karcag SE had won 2, drawn 5 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 18 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Kazincbarcikai's last 10 and 8 of Karcag SE's last 10; 6 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Kazincbarcikai averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.11 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Karcag SE averaged 1.14 scored and 1.00 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.12 goals from Kazincbarcikai and 0.87 from Karcag SE. From that it rates a home win at 65%, a draw at 21% and an away win at 13%, against 53%, 26% and 21% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 43%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Kazincbarcikai (green) and Karcag SE (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kazincbarcikai | LLDDW | 1.60 | 1.30 | 70% | 60% |
| Karcag SE | DLLWW | 1.50 | 1.80 | 80% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 69% | 1.34 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.42 |
| Kazincbarcikai Win | 53% | 1.70 |
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 1.75 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 49% | 1.95 |
| Kazincbarcikai HT & FT | 36% | 2.62 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.