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UEFA Nations League · International
Kazakhstan vs Moldova prediction and preview
2 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Kazakhstan host Moldova in the UEFA Nations League (International) on 2 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 69% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Kazakhstan 1–2 Moldova.
Going into the match, Kazakhstan had won 0, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 4 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 7. Moldova had won 0, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 4, with 4 scored and 6 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Kazakhstan's last 4 and 3 of Moldova's last 4; 2 and 1 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Kazakhstan averaged 0.00 goals scored and 0.00 conceded across 0 matches; away from home Moldova averaged 0.50 scored and 1.50 conceded across 2.
The 1X2 prices imply about 49% for Kazakhstan, 28% for the draw and 22% for Moldova once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Kazakhstan (green) and Moldova (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kazakhstan | LDLD | 1.00 | 1.75 | 100% | 50% |
| Moldova | DLDD | 1.00 | 1.50 | 75% | 25% |
Averages over each side's last 4 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| BTTS No | 54% | 1.73 |
| Kazakhstan Win | 49% | 1.90 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 44% | 2.15 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.